Energy Transition Model

The Dutch government has set long-term goals for achieving a sustainable energy supply. This means that major efforts need to be made on many fronts. Therefor was the Energy Transition Model (ETM) developed that illustrates the effect of energy-related policymaking.

For example, the use of renewable energy sources in the form of wind farms or high-efficiency eco-boilers. At the same time, economic growth could increase demand for energy. This is why it is sensible to have a model with which to visualise the effects of changes in energy supply and demand. Strategy agency Quintel has developed the Energy Transition Model (ETM) with sponsorship from GasTerra that illustrates the effect of energy-related policymaking. By putting yourself in the government's shoes, by setting goals and then making changes, it is possible to model how many of these goals can be achieved and to what extent.

In four scenarios GasTerra has mapped out its vision concerning changes in energy demand, costs and supply, and the use of both renewable energy sources and fossil fuels for the years 2020, 2030, 2040 and 2050. A proper balance was sought between government objectives and socio-economic pre-conditions. The scenario can be downloaded from the energy transition model website.

Increasingly wider utilisation

The model has been used as a computational aid in an increasing number of situations over the past few years, e.g. at energy conferences, for public debates, on television programmes and more recently to prepare the SER's energy plan. GasTerra also aims to use the ETM within the academic world. Together with the Hanze University of Applied Sciences and other academic institutes, GasTerra is examining how the ETM can be used within higher professional education syllabuses. Studies are also being conducted to determine whether the program can be used to earn study points at universities of applied sciences and regular universities. Educational modules have also been developed for secondary schools based on the ETM. The ultimate goal is to integrate the ETM into the basic curriculum. By doing so, the model can prove its worth throughout the entire educational system.